Ted Cruz might be in a bit of trouble. In the reliably Republican state of Texas it seems hard to believe that a strong conservative and high-profile senator like Ted Cruz could lose. But a recent poll indicates he might face some difficulties.
According to the Texas Lyceum poll, Rep. Joaquin Castro (D-TX) captured 35 percent, Cruz received 31 percent of the vote. In another poll, Cruz is tied at 30 percent with Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-TX). 37 percent of voters are undecided.
Castro has not announced that he will run for senate, but O’Rourke has announced.
The margin of error on the poll is 3.1 percent. 1,000 registered Texas voters were polled.
Initially, this doesn’t look good for Senator Cruz, but even the pollster cautions against reading too much into it:
“Ballot tests conducted this far in advance of an actual election are, at best, useful in gauging the potential weaknesses of incumbents seeking re-election,” said Daron Shaw. “But the substantial percentage of undecided respondents—coupled with the conservative, pro-Republican proclivities of the Texas electorate in recent years—suggest a cautious interpretation.”